Each card shows the data status for both teams: SP ✓ = starting pitcher officially confirmed · Lineup ✓ = real batting order from MLB · ✗ = estimated. Factor badges show what's influencing each prediction beyond the base simulation: · BULLPEN FATIGUED — That team's bullpen has been heavily used recently. Reliever ERA is degraded in late innings based on a graduated fatigue score. · OPENER/BULK RP — The confirmed starter is an opener or bulk reliever (GS/G < 20%). Capped at 2 innings; bullpen applies from inning 1; win prob compressed toward 50%. · PITCHER QUALITY SPREAD — One starter has a meaningful ERA advantage. Positive = favors the predicted winner. · LINEUP QUALITY SPREAD — One team's offense is meaningfully stronger on paper. · STREAK / LAST 10 — Recent momentum. A team on a hot streak or 8-2 in their last 10 gets a small boost. · H2H — One team has dominated the recent head-to-head series. · HOME FIELD — Adjusted per team based on their actual home win record this season (not a flat bonus for all teams). Each card shows when it was last simulated and how many simulations were run: · Early simulation — Hourly batch run (1,000 sims). Updates every hour as lineups and weather refresh. The prediction will continue to improve as game time approaches. · Final pre-game simulation — Runs once, 45 minutes before first pitch (10,000 sims). Uses the most up-to-date lineups and weather available. This is the locked-in prediction and will not be overwritten by later batch runs.